{"id":25,"date":"2026-06-30T10:47:02","date_gmt":"2026-06-30T10:47:02","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/hocabul.net\/?p=25"},"modified":"2026-06-30T10:47:03","modified_gmt":"2026-06-30T10:47:03","slug":"xgnin-otesi-xa-xpoints-ve-post-shot-xg-ne-anlatir","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/hocabul.net\/?p=25","title":{"rendered":"xG&#8217;nin \u00d6tesi: xA, xPoints ve Post-Shot xG Ne Anlat\u0131r?"},"content":{"rendered":"<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><a href=\"https:\/\/hocabul.net\/futbol-istatistiklerinde-olasilik-ve-xg-beklenen-gol-nasil-hesaplanir\/\">xG (beklenen gol)<\/a> modern futbol analizinin kap\u0131s\u0131n\u0131 aralad\u0131, ama hikaye orada bitmiyor. xG yaln\u0131zca \u015futlar\u0131n kalitesini \u00f6l\u00e7er; oysa bir ma\u00e7ta pas kalitesi, kaleci performans\u0131 ve \u201chak edilen puan\u201d gibi ba\u015fka boyutlar da vard\u0131r. Bu yaz\u0131da, xG\u2019nin etraf\u0131nda geli\u015fen \u00fc\u00e7 ileri metri\u011fi sade bir dille a\u00e7\u0131kl\u0131yoruz: xA, post-shot xG ve xPoints.<\/p><h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">xA \u2014 Beklenen Asist<\/h2><p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">xA, bir pas\u0131n gol asistine d\u00f6n\u00fc\u015fme olas\u0131l\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 \u00f6l\u00e7er. Mant\u0131k xG ile ayn\u0131d\u0131r ama \u015futa de\u011fil, \u015futu haz\u0131rlayan pasa odaklan\u0131r. Bir oyuncu sezon boyunca hi\u00e7 asist yapmam\u0131\u015f olabilir ama xA\u2019s\u0131 y\u00fcksekse, asl\u0131nda s\u00fcrekli gol pozisyonu yaratt\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131; sorunun bitiricilik yapan tak\u0131m arkada\u015flar\u0131nda oldu\u011funu anlars\u0131n\u0131z. xA, \u201csessiz yarat\u0131c\u0131lar\u0131\u201d g\u00f6r\u00fcn\u00fcr k\u0131lar.<\/p><h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Post-Shot xG (PSxG) \u2014 Kaleciyi \u00d6l\u00e7mek<\/h2><p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Normal xG, \u015fut \u00e7ekilmeden \u00f6nceki pozisyonun kalitesini \u00f6l\u00e7er. Post-shot xG ise yaln\u0131zca isabetli \u015futlara bakar ve \u201ctopun kaleye gidi\u015f y\u00f6n\u00fcne g\u00f6re\u201d gol olma olas\u0131l\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 hesaplar. Bu metrik \u00f6zellikle kaleci analizi i\u00e7in de\u011ferlidir: bir kaleci, kar\u015f\u0131la\u015ft\u0131\u011f\u0131 PSxG toplam\u0131ndan daha az gol yiyorsa, beklenenin \u00fczerinde kurtar\u0131\u015f yap\u0131yor demektir.<\/p><h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">xPoints (xP) \u2014 Beklenen Puan<\/h2><p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">xPoints, bir tak\u0131m\u0131n \u00fcretti\u011fi ve rakibine verdi\u011fi xG\u2019ye bak\u0131larak \u201cuzun vadede ortalama ka\u00e7 puan toplamas\u0131 beklenirdi\u201d sorusunu yan\u0131tlar. Ger\u00e7ek puan\u0131 xPoints\u2019inin \u00e7ok alt\u0131nda olan bir tak\u0131m \u015fanss\u0131z (ya da bitiricilik sorunu olan) bir tak\u0131md\u0131r ve genelde zamanla ortalamaya yakla\u015f\u0131r. Bu y\u00fczden xP, lig tablosunun \u201cger\u00e7ek\u201d resmini g\u00f6rmek i\u00e7in kullan\u0131l\u0131r.<\/p><h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Bu metrikleri birlikte okumak<\/h2><p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Tek bir metrik tek ba\u015f\u0131na yan\u0131lt\u0131c\u0131 olabilir; g\u00fcc\u00fc birlikte okumaktan gelir. Y\u00fcksek xG + d\u00fc\u015f\u00fck gol = bitiricilik sorunu; y\u00fcksek xA + d\u00fc\u015f\u00fck asist = bencil ya da \u015fanss\u0131z h\u00fccum; d\u00fc\u015f\u00fck PSxG\u2019ye ra\u011fmen az yenen gol = iyi kaleci. Bu metriklerin g\u00fcncel de\u011ferlerini <a href=\"https:\/\/fbref.com\/\">FBref gibi a\u00e7\u0131k istatistik platformlar\u0131nda<\/a> takip edebilirsiniz. \u0130\u015fin hocas\u0131, tek bir say\u0131ya de\u011fil, say\u0131lar\u0131n birlikte anlatt\u0131\u011f\u0131 hikayeye bakar.<\/p>","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>xG (beklenen gol) modern futbol analizinin kap\u0131s\u0131n\u0131 aralad\u0131, ama hikaye orada bitmiyor. xG yaln\u0131zca \u015futlar\u0131n kalitesini \u00f6l\u00e7er; oysa bir ma\u00e7ta pas kalitesi, kaleci performans\u0131 ve \u201chak edilen puan\u201d gibi ba\u015fka boyutlar da vard\u0131r. Bu yaz\u0131da, xG\u2019nin etraf\u0131nda geli\u015fen \u00fc\u00e7 ileri metri\u011fi sade bir dille a\u00e7\u0131kl\u0131yoruz: xA, post-shot xG ve xPoints. xA \u2014 Beklenen Asist xA, &#8230; <a title=\"xG&#8217;nin \u00d6tesi: xA, xPoints ve Post-Shot xG Ne Anlat\u0131r?\" class=\"read-more\" href=\"https:\/\/hocabul.net\/?p=25\" aria-label=\"Read more about xG&#8217;nin \u00d6tesi: xA, xPoints ve Post-Shot xG Ne Anlat\u0131r?\">Read more<\/a><\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[3],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-25","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-veriyle-spor-analizi"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/hocabul.net\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/25","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/hocabul.net\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/hocabul.net\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/hocabul.net\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/hocabul.net\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcomments&post=25"}],"version-history":[{"count":1,"href":"https:\/\/hocabul.net\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/25\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":26,"href":"https:\/\/hocabul.net\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/25\/revisions\/26"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/hocabul.net\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fmedia&parent=25"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/hocabul.net\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcategories&post=25"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/hocabul.net\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Ftags&post=25"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}